Signal results
Backtested 2015–2026 on real gold price data. The bot trades live from 11/2026 – every trade is posted here, never deleted or edited, losing trades included.
The figures below are 2015–2026 backtests: the bot's rules run on past gold prices. Live trade results are in the "Live trading" section. Most figures count core trades – about half of the signals the bot sends; the "All trades" column adds the remaining signals.
Average monthly return
~2.4%
core trades, 2015–2026; much lower in 2016–2018
Losing years
0 / 11
full years 2016–2026 (last 5 months of 2015: −1.5%)
Deepest drawdown
15.2%
from account peak to trough, 2015–2026
Signals per day
~2.6
of which ~1.3 are core trades
Backtested equity curve
08/2015–10/2026 · % of capital, cumulative, non-compounded · at the bot's suggested risk
Yearly returns
Backtested 2015–2026, trading the lot size the bot suggests at the start of each year, after fees, before slippage. Last column: profit in $ on $1,000 of capital with core trades.
Swipe sideways to see the full table →
| Year | Core trades | All trades | $1,000 capital (core trades) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 (5 months) | −1.5% |
−1.6% | −$15 |
| 2016 | +1.7% |
+1.7% | +$17 |
| 2017 | +9.9% |
+11.0% | +$99 |
| 2018 | +1.7% |
+1.4% | +$17 |
| 2019 | +14.9% |
+15.1% | +$149 |
| 2020 | +64.7% |
+74.8% | +$647 |
| 2021 | +17.2% |
+16.6% | +$172 |
| 2022 | +31.5% |
+33.4% | +$315 |
| 2023 | +35.8% |
+38.0% | +$358 |
| 2024 | +42.8% |
+51.1% | +$428 |
| 2025 | +67.8% |
+79.0% | +$678 |
| 2026 (10 months) | +24.4% |
+27.3% | +$244 |
Returns are uneven: some years a few %, others several tens of %. When gold trends strongly (2020, 2024, 2025) profits are large; when gold moves sideways (2016, 2018) it is close to break-even. So judge by the year, not by the week.
By system
Gold backtests 2015–2026 (crypto 2020–2026), real spread costs included. Each system is shown by number.
Swipe sideways to see the full table →
| System | Win rate | Average profit per trade | Longest losing streak |
|---|---|---|---|
| System 15 | 53% | +0.24R | 13 trades |
| System 24 | 41% | +0.27R | 8 trades |
| System 21 | 39% | +0.17R | 14 trades |
| System 23 | 21% | +0.16R | 6 trades |
| System 19 | 35% | +0.14R | 11 trades |
| System 12 | 17% | +0.13R | 8 trades |
| System 27 | 52% | +0.19R | 39 trades |
| System 16 | 35% | +0.06R | 14 trades |
| Other (crypto) | 32% | +0.24R | 16 trades |
R = 1 unit of risk: +2R means a profit of twice the amount you accept to lose. Example +0.24R: risking $100 per trade earns $24 on average.
Live trading
Bot trading live from 11/2026
From 11/2026, every live trade is recorded. Results are updated here monthly, trade by trade – even when they fall short of the backtest.
Two signal groups
Same bot, two ways to follow it. Backtested 2018–2026. Every evening the free channel posts both figures so you can compare.
Free channel · no cost
~6/10 trades win
Part of the bot's trades. Suggests taking ½ profit early, then moving the stop-loss to entry – more winning trades, less profit per trade.
Full signal group
~4–5/10 trades win
~2× the free channel's profit
100% of trades, held to the bot's target. Fewer winning trades, but about 2× the total profit.
Latest backtest figures
Run on 8,307 gold bot trades 2018–2026 (real costs included) and 8 other products, ~50,000 trades. Updated 6 Nov 2026.
17% of days
are strong-move days – and produce all of the bot's profit (107%). On the 55% of days when price moves little, the bot's trades lose in total. There is no telling in advance which day is which – so follow every signal consistently.
1/5 of profit
is lost to spread, swap and lot-size rounding in live trading – which is why cashback and swap-free accounts are worth using.
83% of days
price hits the "near target" of signal apps – yet with a stop-loss in place, the average trade still loses (−0.07R). A high win rate can still lose money.
1 in 6–7 days
price covers half its usual daily range, then reverses and closes on the opposite side (gold 15%, indices 18%). That is why every trade needs a stop-loss.
Get every trade the moment the bot signals
This site shows results after trades close. The full signal group gets 100% of trades the moment the bot signals, each with a stop-loss and a lot size suggested for your capital – free when you open your account through our CashbackEA partner link, plus cashback on every lot.